The operating layer for the modern pharmacy.
RxPredict is a statistical demand forecasting tool for independent pharmacies — Holt‑Winters, Croston's, exponential smoothing — that turns your inventory and sales data into real-time reorder decisions and a measurably calmer back room. Built by MKH HealthTech LLC.
Pharmacies run on spreadsheets, gut feel, and a phone that never stops ringing.
Independent pharmacies operate on thin margins, where a handful of ordering decisions each week quietly determine profitability. When those decisions are made from memory, the cost surfaces in four predictable places.
When a drug isn't on the shelf, the script transfers to a competitor — and chronic-medication patients rarely transfer back.
Over-ordering ties up cash in inventory that could otherwise fund staff, equipment, or a second location.
Short-dated and slow-moving SKUs become write-offs when ordering is reactive and rotation is tracked by hand.
Without demand history to lean on, ordering falls to whoever's on shift — and intuition rarely survives a busy week.
The average independent pharmacy loses over $6,000 a month it will never get back.
Three silent budget leaks — compounding every week, invisible without data, and entirely preventable.
Drugs ordered beyond real demand sit on the shelf, slow-move, and ultimately get returned or written down. Wholesaler credits rarely make you whole.
Product written off at cost the moment its shelf life passes. Short-dated SKUs ordered without expiry-aware forecasting turn into guaranteed losses.
Every out-of-stock script that walks to a competitor is a lost dispensing fee plus a patient relationship at risk. Chronic-med patients rarely transfer back.
Estimates based on NCPA Digest benchmarks and pharmacy operations data. Figures reflect a typical independent pharmacy dispensing 150–250 prescriptions/day with ~$400K in annual inventory value. Individual results vary.
Meet RxPredict — forecasting that finally fits the way a pharmacy actually works.
RxPredict reads your dispense history, vendor catalogs, and local demand signals to produce per-SKU forecasts your team can trust. It writes back reorder suggestions, surfaces anomalies before they bite, and stays out of the way the rest of the time.
Forecasting tuned to how pharmacy demand actually behaves.
Battle-tested time-series methods — Holt-Winters for seasonality, Croston's for intermittent SKUs, exponential smoothing for steady movers. Each drug gets the right model for its pattern, automatically picked and back-tested against the last 21 days of your data.
Three steps from your current workflow to a pharmacy that forecasts itself.
RxPredict slots into the systems you already run. Most pharmacies are live inside of a week — no rip-and-replace, no new hardware.
Upload your data
Two files — your current inventory snapshot and your sales history. Drag-and-drop directly into RxPredict; we generate templates that match whatever your PMS exports. No integration work, no IT ticket needed.
RxPredict analyzes demand patterns
Holt-Winters, Croston's, and exponential smoothing models surface seasonality, trend, and intermittent demand at the SKU level — with WAPE back-tested on your last 21 days.
Get accurate forecasts & alerts
Daily reorder suggestions, anomaly flags, and an executive view your team can act on without leaving the workflow they already know.
The only pharmacy tool that tells you what's about to happen.
Every existing pharmacy inventory system looks backward — they react to what's already low. RxPredict looks forward, predicting stockouts and spikes before they bite.
Built with the people who actually fill the prescriptions.
Every workflow in MKH is designed by someone who works behind the counter — not by consultants who studied pharmacies from the outside. We're obsessive about data security, careful about claims, and serious about getting time back for your team.
No patient identifiers required
RxPredict is built so you never need to upload patient names, addresses, or IDs — just SKU-level dispense counts and inventory. You stay the data controller; we're only the processor, acting on your data to run the service.
Independent & chain-ready
From the single-location community pharmacy to the multi-state operator. Per-location forecasting with chain-level rollups, governance, and reporting.
Works with any PMS
Because RxPredict imports your data directly, it works with whatever pharmacy management system you're on — no proprietary connectors, no waiting on your vendor. If your PMS can export inventory and sales, you can forecast against your own data this afternoon.
Pricing that fits your pharmacy.
We don't publish a fixed rate. Every pharmacy is different — so pricing is set individually, based on how much RxPredict saves you and what your pharmacy can sustainably afford.
Only 3 pilot spots available. 2 remaining.
Be one of the first pharmacies to run on RxPredict.
We're looking for a small group of pharmacies — independent or small chain — to pilot RxPredict alongside us. Pricing is set on a pharmacy-by-pharmacy basis — based on how much you save with the tool and what your pharmacy can afford. Pilot pharmacies get a free trial period before paying anything, and your rate is locked in for as long as you stay. Direct line to the founder. We get the real-world feedback that turns a beta product into the thing pharmacies actually want.
There's no fixed list price. We look at what RxPredict saves your pharmacy — overstock reduction, fewer emergency fills, less expired product — and agree on a number that's a fair share of that value and fits your budget. Apply below and we'll work it out together.
I work behind the counter at a CVS. Every shift I watch the same thing happen — we run out of the meds people actually need, and there's a back wall of stuff slowly expiring that we ordered too much of.
The forecasting tools the big chains use cost more per month than most independent pharmacies make in a week. The free ones are spreadsheets we don't have time to maintain. So I started building the thing I wished existed: a forecast you can trust, built on math that's been working for fifty years, that any pharmacy can run by uploading their data.
RxPredict is the beta product. It is live and we're looking for a few pilot pharmacies to help shape what comes next. If you're tired of guessing what to order on Sunday night — I'd love to talk.